Last week the US Senate gave approval for drilling in the Artic National Wildlife Refuge.
The EIA predicts:
“The mean (expected value) estimate is 10.3 billion barrels of recoverable oil.”
from the Coastal Plains of ANWR.
The EIA also says:
“The United States consumed an average of about 20.4 million bbl/d of oil during the first ten months of 2004”
20.4 * 365days = 7.4 billion barrels of oil.
The people advocating drilling in ANWR like to talk it up as being part of the US’s “oil independance”.
Does a 1 year and 5 month supply of oil, sound like ‘oil independance’ to you?
Of course, I’m playing with numbers here… there is no way on gods green earth that we could actually pump 20 million barrels per day of oil out of Alaska. It’s simply impossible. The first EIA link states: “For the mean resource case (10.3 billion barrels technically recoverable), ANWR peak production rates range from 1.0 to 1.35 million barrels per day.”
That’s 1/20th of the USs’ daily, CURRENT needs… ANWR isn’t projected to come online… at any rate.. until maybe 2010, and at that rate until… 2020?
Oil independance, huh…
We’ve just put in motion forces that could ruins millions of years of evolution, wilderness, and pristine beauty…. for a year and a half worth of a doomed resource.
(hat tip: The Oil Drum)
When I was living at home, we had this big, beautiful maple tree in our back yard. It gave us shade in the summer… caught the snow and blocked the wind in the winter… and produced the most amazingly massive leaves that composted on our garden.
If we had cut that tree down, the wood pile would have likely heated our house for a season or two. Not that we would actually burn wood every single day… when we have base-board heating….
Why would we cut that tree down when, in the long run, it gives us so much more than the temporary fuel source that it could provide?