Looks like Tony Blair is well on his way to victory. The BBC has an excellent website up showing live results as they come in across the UK (remember it’s the middle of the night there now!).
It is still early, Labour still hasn’t quite reached the the magic number of 324 seats needed for the majority. But there is no doubt they will reach it.
The question will be, how big will that majority be. Everyone seems to be predicting major shrinkage (sorry, couldn’t resist). The BBC’s site is reporting a 3.2% “Swing” in votes from Labour to Conservatives. That could add up to some pretty major gains in seats depending on how the vote is distributed.
In 2001, Labour won 413, Conservative 166, and Lib Dem 53.
I’ll try to keep an eye on it and post more later. Otherwise, enjoy the horse race!
I just realised something. Anyone else ever notice that in the UK (and Canada), the ‘Liberal’ party is Red and the ‘Conservative’ party is Blue (and actually the “more left” party, Lid Dem and NDP, are Yellow/Orange.) Yet in the United States the “Red” states are the Conservative/Repub ones and the “Blue” states are Democrat.
Silly Americans always gotta be different. 😉
Smash, of LT-SMASH just corrected me… apparently the red/blue thing switches. Not sure why. Funny, for a two party system, it’s pretty damn complicated to figure out, eh? Compensating maybe? 😉
Onto more serious matters… As of right now (9PM PST), Labour has crossed the majority threshold… but only barely… the Conservatives have already surpassed their seat total from 2001! The Lib Dems have exactly the same number as 2001, 53 seats… and it’s still very very early, so they can easily surpass their seats.
This is looking more and more like a major slap in the face to Tony Blair… we’ll see how it plays out over the next 5 or 6 hours. I wish I could stay up to watch it play out.
The past half hour has been big for the Lib Dems as they surpassed their 2001 totals by 3 and continued the downward spiral of Labour… now down 40.
The most surprising result isn’t just that Labours majority is shrinking vast, but also Labour has not gained a single seat that it held in 2001. 44 seats lost and counting…
Their majority is a paltry 19 seats right now. Their projected seats stand at around 355… that’s down over 50 seats from 2001.
It looks like Iraq was definitely an issue and the Lib-Dems made gains because of it… in all, it looks like the UK Parliament will be an interesting place over the next 4-5 years.