I go to the site “A Daily Briefing on Iran” many times a day. It is a wealth of information on that state.
Tonight, they’ve posted an article by Henry Kissinger and his take on Iran.
In fact, the alleged conflict between conciliation and pressure is as unreal as it is standard. Diplomacy is about demonstrating to the other side both the consequences of its actions and the benefits of the alternatives. No matter how elegantly phrased, diplomacy by its very nature implies an element of and a capacity for pressure. One reason why European negotiators have made the limited progress they have on the nuclear issue with Iran is the implied threat of actions America might take in case of deadlock. The key issue between the United States and Europe should not be over the necessity of pressure if diplomacy fails but the definition of it, the timing, and precisely by what process that pressure is designed to lead to a non-nuclear Iran.
Personally, I think the US Administration knows it has to step lightly around Iran.
More importantly though, I think Iran is fully aware of its’ strange position. It is in a position of power relating to the rest of the world, but internally, it is fragile. More fragile than many think… I don’t think the Iranian people will be starting a new revolution any time soon.. they don’t have the stomach for violence.
Or, I may be wrong about that.. given another report from ADBOI:
Demonstrators were protesting against the lack of basic conditions and had gathered in front of the Governor’s Office when they were attacked by the special forces.
The situation has been reported as tense.
And… Germanys’ Foreign minister says:
If Iran behaves in an unreasonable way, if for example it restarts enrichment… then that would lead to the Security Council